Tuesday, December 30, 2025

272 whale trades totalling $5.18M from 143 wallets. Biggest: $359.6k buy No on “Xi Jinping out in 2025?” at 99.9¢. 1 of 1 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 0.4 expected (+60.4 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$359.6k 4.0× usual	100%	expectless	297d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$181.9k 2.0× usual	100%	expectless	298d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$179.3k 9.4× usual	0%	DaytonaOne	298d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$154.8k 3.1× usual	0%	0x6327…e181	298d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$119.2k 2.0× usual	99%	0x1fad…b5b2	297d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$99.8k 3.0× usual	0%	Alexparker	298d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$99.5k 2.4× usual	1%	0xa90a…041f	298d ago	excluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 93.3¢	$80.7k 3.3× usual	93%	kjsdavv	298d ago	missed	Trade this
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$69.7k	0%	tsekinming01	298d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$68.3k	100%	jwp9999	298d ago	excluded
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$54.8k	99%	4gibg4i3o	297d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$51.2k 2.0× usual	0%	Joe-Biden	297d ago	excluded
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$45.1k	1%	0x1fad…b5b2	298d ago	excluded
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$32.7k	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	298d ago	excluded
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢	$32.2k	2%	0x1fad…b5b2	298d ago	excluded

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$359.6k

LOW expectless · 297d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$181.9k

LOW expectless · 298d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$179.3k

LOW DaytonaOne · 298d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$154.8k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 298d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$119.2k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 297d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$99.8k

LOW Alexparker · 298d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$99.5k

LOW 0xa90a…041f · 298d ago

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?missed

BUY No @ 93.3¢$80.7k

LOW kjsdavv · 298d ago

Trade this

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$69.7k

LOW tsekinming01 · 298d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$68.3k

LOW jwp9999 · 298d ago

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$54.8k

LOW 4gibg4i3o · 297d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$51.2k

LOW Joe-Biden · 297d ago

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$45.1k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 298d ago

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$32.7k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 298d ago

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.4¢$32.2k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 298d ago

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$3.23M · 230 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$844.8k · 16 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$532.5k · 9 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$154.8k · 1 flags

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

$91.6k · 2 flags

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$55.5k · 2 flags