Wednesday, December 31, 2025

334 whale trades totalling $7.31M from 180 wallets. Biggest: $564.8k buy No on “Xi Jinping out in 2025?” at 99.9¢. 87 of 125 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 83.6 expected (+2.7 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$564.8k 3.8× usual	100%	timemachinee	297d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.7¢	$449.1k 5.5× usual	0%	0xce5b…047a	296d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.7¢	$162.3k	0%	0xce5b…047a	296d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$154.3k 3.1× usual	99%	0x6327…e181	296d ago	excluded
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$140.3k 2.4× usual	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	297d ago	excluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$130.2k 4.8× usual	100%	ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN	296d ago	excluded
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$121.5k 2.1× usual	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	297d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$118.0k	0%	0x5e91…1717	296d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$117.4k 4.2× usual	99%	0x6d77…b72c	297d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$89.9k 3.0× usual	0%	Trump2028	296d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢	$74.0k	1%	0xce5b…047a	296d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$72.8k	99%	0xce5b…047a	296d ago	excluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$72.0k 2.5× usual	100%	aenews2 LOSING	296d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$64.9k	0%	0xf120…9321	296d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$59.9k	0%	0x7441…5ed5	296d ago	excluded

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$564.8k

MED timemachinee · 297d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$449.1k

MED 0xce5b…047a · 296d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$162.3k

MED 0xce5b…047a · 296d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$154.3k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 296d ago

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$140.3k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 297d ago

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$130.2k

MED PROVEN ArmageddonRewardsBilly · 296d ago

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$121.5k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 297d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$118.0k

LOW 0x5e91…1717 · 296d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.7¢$117.4k

LOW 0x6d77…b72c · 297d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$89.9k

LOW Trump2028 · 296d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.9¢$74.0k

LOW 0xce5b…047a · 296d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$72.8k

LOW 0xce5b…047a · 296d ago

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$72.0k

LOW LOSING aenews2 · 296d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$64.9k

LOW 0xf120…9321 · 296d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$59.9k

LOW 0x7441…5ed5 · 296d ago

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$4.21M · 281 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$1.00M · 12 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$623.6k · 3 flags

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

$379.9k · 8 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$329.5k · 8 flags

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?

$261.7k · 2 flags