Monday, December 29, 2025

244 whale trades totalling $4.02M from 134 wallets. Biggest: $150.2k buy No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.8¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$150.2k 3.0× usual	100%	0x6327…e181	298d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$103.0k 2.1× usual	100%	0x6327…e181	298d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$81.5k 3.7× usual	100%	LucasMeow	298d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$71.4k 4.8× usual	0%	tir1234	298d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢	$68.1k	87%	0x2aac…1b36	298d ago	called	Trade this
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$57.3k 2.1× usual	0%	uycghj4	299d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$49.9k 2.1× usual	0%	The Spirit of Ukraine>UM	298d ago	excluded
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$47.6k	99%	0x1fad…b5b2	298d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$39.8k 2.1× usual	100%	betwick	299d ago	excluded
US recession in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$38.9k	100%	Martiini	298d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$34.0k	0%	dwFqcd4Z	298d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$33.7k	0%	Hashbrown	298d ago	excluded
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢	$33.0k	99%	0x1fad…b5b2	298d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$31.7k	100%	0x095d…52cf	298d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$28.6k	0%	arjennnnn	298d ago	excluded

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$150.2k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 298d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$103.0k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 298d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$81.5k

LOW LucasMeow · 298d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$71.4k

LOW tir1234 · 298d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 87¢$68.1k

LOW 0x2aac…1b36 · 298d ago

Trade this

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$57.3k

LOW uycghj4 · 299d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$49.9k

LOW The Spirit of Ukraine>UM · 298d ago

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$47.6k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 298d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$39.8k

LOW betwick · 299d ago

US recession in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$38.9k

LOW Martiini · 298d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$34.0k

LOW dwFqcd4Z · 298d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$33.7k

LOW Hashbrown · 298d ago

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.1¢$33.0k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 298d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$31.7k

LOW 0x095d…52cf · 298d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$28.6k

LOW arjennnnn · 298d ago

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$2.84M · 209 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$345.0k · 12 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$253.2k · 2 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$213.9k · 6 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$91.1k · 3 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$48.9k · 2 flags