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tir1234

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$984.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$40.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $5.71M volume · 3,981 trades · since Oct 16, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$40.6k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
92%
161 closed
Wallet age · markets
373d
161 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $12.0k99% 189d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW SELL No @ 48¢ $37.2k
2.5× usual
52% 199d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ $26.8k98% 203d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $14.2k99% 203d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $101.6k
6.8× usual
99% 204d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $10.9k97% 211d agoexcluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $12.4k0% 212d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ $42.9k
2.9× usual
1% 212d agoexcluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $72.6k
4.9× usual
99% 212d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ $118.7k
8.0× usual
1% 212d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $12.6k99% 213d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ $15.0k98% 215d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?MED BUY No @ 97¢ $29.8k
2.0× usual
97% 218d agocalled
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 98.3¢ $14.0k2% 218d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢ $18.3k3% 218d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 97.2¢ $25.8k97% 219d agoexcluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $19.5k98% 219d agoexcluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢ $14.4k2% 221d agoexcluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW SELL No @ 97.8¢ $13.8k2% 221d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 96.6¢ $11.5k97% 221d agocalled
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 97.5¢ $24.1k3% 222d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 94.3¢ $10.6k94% 222d agocalled
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $10.6k96% 223d agocalled
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 92.3¢ $25.3k92% 228d agocalled
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ $10.6k98% 247d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ $14.8k1% 249d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $25.7k1% 249d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $14.6k97% 257d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ $11.7k97% 260d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ $10.0k97% 260d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95.8¢ $31.4k
2.1× usual
96% 262d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ $21.5k97% 285d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $49.9k
3.3× usual
0% 297d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $71.4k
4.8× usual
0% 298d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $14.0k99% 304d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 97¢ $14.2k97% 312d agoexcluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$12.0k
LOW tir1234 · 189d ago
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?excluded
SELL No @ 48¢$37.2k
LOW tir1234 · 199d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 98.4¢$26.8k
LOW tir1234 · 203d ago
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$14.2k
LOW tir1234 · 203d ago
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?excluded
BUY No @ 98.6¢$101.6k
LOW tir1234 · 204d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 97¢$10.9k
LOW tir1234 · 211d ago
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$12.4k
LOW tir1234 · 212d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
SELL No @ 99.4¢$42.9k
LOW tir1234 · 212d ago
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?excluded
BUY No @ 99.2¢$72.6k
LOW tir1234 · 212d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
SELL No @ 98.9¢$118.7k
LOW tir1234 · 212d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 98.9¢$12.6k
LOW tir1234 · 213d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 98.3¢$15.0k
LOW tir1234 · 215d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called
BUY No @ 97¢$29.8k
MED tir1234 · 218d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
SELL No @ 98.3¢$14.0k
LOW tir1234 · 218d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
SELL No @ 97.4¢$18.3k
LOW tir1234 · 218d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 97.2¢$25.8k
LOW tir1234 · 219d ago
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?excluded
BUY No @ 98.5¢$19.5k
LOW tir1234 · 219d ago
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?excluded
SELL No @ 98.2¢$14.4k
LOW tir1234 · 221d ago
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?excluded
SELL No @ 97.8¢$13.8k
LOW tir1234 · 221d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?called
BUY No @ 96.6¢$11.5k
LOW tir1234 · 221d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
SELL No @ 97.5¢$24.1k
LOW tir1234 · 222d ago
Netanyahu out by March 31?called
BUY No @ 94.3¢$10.6k
LOW tir1234 · 222d ago
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?called
BUY No @ 96¢$10.6k
LOW tir1234 · 223d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called
BUY No @ 92.3¢$25.3k
LOW tir1234 · 228d ago
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 97.9¢$10.6k
LOW tir1234 · 247d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 98.9¢$14.8k
LOW tir1234 · 249d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.3¢$25.7k
LOW tir1234 · 249d ago
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 97.5¢$14.6k
LOW tir1234 · 257d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?called
BUY No @ 96.9¢$11.7k
LOW tir1234 · 260d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?called
BUY No @ 96.9¢$10.0k
LOW tir1234 · 260d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?called
BUY No @ 95.8¢$31.4k
LOW tir1234 · 262d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 97.3¢$21.5k
LOW tir1234 · 285d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$49.9k
LOW tir1234 · 297d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$71.4k
LOW tir1234 · 298d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$14.0k
LOW tir1234 · 304d ago
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded
BUY No @ 97¢$14.2k
LOW tir1234 · 312d ago

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