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What this means. A wallet put $25.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?excluded
$25.8k
BUY No @ 97.2¢ · 26,584 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet tir1234 took No (buy) for $25.8k at an average 97.2¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $25.8k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3469American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97.2¢
Implied odds
97.2%
Size
$25.8k
Placed
Mar 19, 05:32 EDT
Market close
Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tir1234
Tx
0x2f8b9ace…

Entry to resolution

Grade +3 pts
No price · entry 97.2¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97.2¢ · $25.8k WHALE $25.8K @ 97.2¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
2.1× usual
0% alliswell206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.0k0% Aeglos206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.8k0% frostnovae206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.8k0% abuzzin206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $60.4k
2.8× usual
0% MetaloidManiac206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $369.4k
9.9× usual
0% Erasmus. PROVEN206d agoexcluded