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What this means. A wallet put $13.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.4k
SELL Yes @ 60¢ · 22,158 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet chungguskhan took Yes (sell) for $13.4k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 39.6%
- Size
- $13.4k
- Placed
- Dec 27, 16:58 EST
- Market close
- Dec 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- chungguskhan
- Tx
- 0x80b0fd58…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-24.4 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +60 ptsYes price · entry 60¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $169.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $194.7k 5.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |