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What this means. A wallet put $13.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?called
$13.4k
SELL Yes @ 60¢ · 22,158 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet chungguskhan took Yes (sell) for $13.4k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
39.6%
Size
$13.4k
Placed
Dec 27, 16:58 EST
Market close
Dec 30, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
chungguskhan
Tx
0x80b0fd58…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-24.4 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +60 pts
Yes price · entry 60¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 60¢ · $13.4k WHALE $13.4K @ 60¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.0k0% 0xfe72…cb10292d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% 0x6d77…b72c292d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $169.9k0% 0xfbfb…f563293d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% JustHereWaiting293d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $194.7k
5.5× usual
0% tsybka293d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.0k0% bean125293d agoexcluded