Saturday, December 20, 2025

63 whale trades totalling $1.46M from 39 wallets. Biggest: $175.8k buy No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.3¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$175.8k 3.0× usual	99%	0x1fad…b5b2	307d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢	$94.0k	2%	0xce5b…047a	307d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 89¢	$90.1k 5.9× usual	89%	0x4cb5…b536	307d ago	called	Trade this
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$70.0k 3.4× usual	99%	Eatpraylove	307d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢	$60.8k	99%	0x9f99…69e2	307d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$52.1k 2.0× usual	97%	SwissMiss LOSING	307d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$50.0k	100%	0xc7ed…c296	307d ago	excluded
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	MED BUY No @ 94.3¢	$39.3k	94%	HongKongMenace	307d ago	called	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢	$38.2k 2.5× usual	78%	0x4cb5…b536	308d ago	called	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢	$30.4k	2%	0x9f99…69e2	307d ago	excluded
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?	MED BUY Yes @ 14¢	$30.0k	14%	opulent	307d ago	missed	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 97.3¢	$22.3k	3%	TexMexTRex	307d ago	excluded
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$21.8k	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	307d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 78¢	$19.6k	22%	0x1569…4e0c	307d ago	missed	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢	$17.6k	97%	0xfaab…751a	307d ago	excluded

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$175.8k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 307d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.5¢$94.0k

LOW 0xce5b…047a · 307d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY No @ 89¢$90.1k

LOW 0x4cb5…b536 · 307d ago

Trade this

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$70.0k

LOW Eatpraylove · 307d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.6¢$60.8k

LOW 0x9f99…69e2 · 307d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 97.5¢$52.1k

LOW LOSING SwissMiss · 307d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$50.0k

LOW 0xc7ed…c296 · 307d ago

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?called

BUY No @ 94.3¢$39.3k

MED HongKongMenace · 307d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 78¢$38.2k

LOW 0x4cb5…b536 · 308d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.5¢$30.4k

LOW 0x9f99…69e2 · 307d ago

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?missed

BUY Yes @ 14¢$30.0k

MED opulent · 307d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 97.3¢$22.3k

LOW TexMexTRex · 307d ago

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$21.8k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 307d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 78¢$19.6k

LOW 0x1569…4e0c · 307d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 97.4¢$17.6k

LOW 0xfaab…751a · 307d ago

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$753.5k · 45 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$175.8k · 1 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$133.0k · 3 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$102.3k · 4 flags

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$90.1k · 1 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$67.9k · 3 flags