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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +10.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+10.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$154.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$93.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $947.9k volume · 113 trades · since Nov 05, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$93.6k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
718d
10 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +10.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $63.4k | called |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $30.4k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $60.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9f996a…