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What this means. A wallet put $30.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.4k
SELL No @ 98.5¢ · 30,833 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet 0x9f99…69e2 took No (sell) for $30.4k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 1.5%
- Size
- $30.4k
- Placed
- Dec 20, 11:12 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x9f99…69e2
- Tx
- 0x7adbbb06…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+10.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |