Friday, December 19, 2025

63 whale trades totalling $1.70M from 40 wallets. Biggest: $175.6k sell No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.2¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$175.6k 3.0× usual	1%	0x1fad…b5b2	308d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢	$83.8k	99%	0xdd57…694d	309d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢	$78.6k	2%	0xea8e…3de0	309d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED SELL No @ 96.5¢	$64.7k 2.6× usual	4%	Joe-Biden	309d ago	excluded
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$63.5k	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	308d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢	$58.5k 2.7× usual	1%	Anjun	309d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED SELL No @ 96.4¢	$56.6k 2.4× usual	4%	UnRektCapital	309d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢	$50.7k	77%	0x6d77…b72c	308d ago	called	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$50.0k	99%	Coram_Deo	309d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢	$46.2k	99%	0xea8e…3de0	309d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED SELL No @ 96.2¢	$40.8k 2.7× usual	4%	Tenebrus7	308d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$39.7k 3.4× usual	1%	charliealmanack	308d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 96.3¢	$36.6k	96%	Alexparker	309d ago	excluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 83¢	$35.0k	83%	kjsdavv	309d ago	missed	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 79¢	$33.9k	79%	0x6d77…b72c	309d ago	called	Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.2¢$175.6k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 308d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.6¢$83.8k

LOW 0xdd57…694d · 309d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.4¢$78.6k

LOW 0xea8e…3de0 · 309d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 96.5¢$64.7k

MED Joe-Biden · 309d ago

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$63.5k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 308d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.3¢$58.5k

LOW Anjun · 309d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 96.4¢$56.6k

MED UnRektCapital · 309d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 77¢$50.7k

LOW 0x6d77…b72c · 308d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$50.0k

LOW Coram_Deo · 309d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.6¢$46.2k

LOW 0xea8e…3de0 · 309d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 96.2¢$40.8k

MED Tenebrus7 · 308d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.2¢$39.7k

LOW charliealmanack · 308d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 96.3¢$36.6k

LOW Alexparker · 309d ago

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?missed

BUY No @ 83¢$35.0k

LOW kjsdavv · 309d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 79¢$33.9k

LOW 0x6d77…b72c · 309d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$498.8k · 24 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$295.8k · 9 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$256.2k · 10 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$245.5k · 3 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$151.7k · 6 flags

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?

$63.5k · 1 flags