Thursday, December 18, 2025

48 whale trades totalling $1.82M from 32 wallets. Biggest: $595.7k buy No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.3¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.3¢	$595.7k 11.5× usual	99%	0xdd57…694d	310d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$175.8k 3.0× usual	99%	0x1fad…b5b2	309d ago	excluded
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$80.3k	100%	0x6327…e181	309d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 92.3¢	$80.2k 4.7× usual	92%	0x187f…217f	309d ago	called	Trade this
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$79.5k	0%	0x6327…e181	309d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 68¢	$59.2k	32%	0x2aac…1b36	310d ago	missed	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢	$48.3k 2.3× usual	97%	AngryRhino	310d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED SELL No @ 95.9¢	$34.2k	4%	Alexparker	310d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$31.5k	99%	locuspm	310d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢	$30.6k	99%	0x6d77…b72c	310d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$29.9k	1%	abuzzin	310d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 25¢	$25.2k	25%	0x6d77…b72c	310d ago	missed	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢	$24.2k	97%	0xab57…842b	309d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 96.6¢	$23.7k	97%	0x8795…7544	309d ago	excluded
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$20.1k	0%	0x3e27…8b0d	310d ago	excluded

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$595.7k

MED 0xdd57…694d · 310d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$175.8k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 309d ago

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$80.3k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 309d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 92.3¢$80.2k

LOW 0x187f…217f · 309d ago

Trade this

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$79.5k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 309d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 68¢$59.2k

MED 0x2aac…1b36 · 310d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 96.7¢$48.3k

LOW AngryRhino · 310d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 95.9¢$34.2k

MED Alexparker · 310d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.7¢$31.5k

LOW locuspm · 310d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.6¢$30.6k

LOW 0x6d77…b72c · 310d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$29.9k

LOW abuzzin · 310d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

BUY No @ 25¢$25.2k

MED 0x6d77…b72c · 310d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 96.8¢$24.2k

LOW 0xab57…842b · 309d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 96.6¢$23.7k

LOW 0x8795…7544 · 309d ago

Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$20.1k

LOW 0x3e27…8b0d · 310d ago

Most traded markets

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$822.0k · 5 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$322.0k · 21 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$175.7k · 7 flags

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?

$159.8k · 2 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$102.1k · 3 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$80.2k · 1 flags