Wednesday, December 17, 2025

42 whale trades totalling $3.01M from 26 wallets. Biggest: $1.66M buy No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 98.8¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$1.66M 5.3× usual	99%	Ryan888	310d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 98.8¢	$283.9k 5.5× usual	99%	0xdd57…694d	311d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢	$157.6k 3.2× usual	98%	0x6327…e181	310d ago	excluded
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$69.9k	100%	0x6327…e181	310d ago	excluded
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$69.9k	0%	0x6327…e181	310d ago	excluded
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$69.9k	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	311d ago	excluded
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$49.8k	1%	0x6327…e181	311d ago	excluded
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$47.2k	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	311d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢	$46.1k	97%	ElectricSamurai	311d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$46.1k	1%	ElectricSamurai	311d ago	excluded
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$30.1k	100%	0x6327…e181	310d ago	excluded
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$30.1k	1%	0x6327…e181	310d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 21¢	$29.2k	21%	0x6d77…b72c	311d ago	missed	Trade this
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	LOW BUY No @ 93.9¢	$23.7k	94%	DonaldinhoTrumpito	311d ago	called	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢	$23.2k	3%	0x28c3…da06	310d ago	excluded

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$1.66M

LOW Ryan888 · 310d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$283.9k

MED 0xdd57…694d · 311d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.5¢$157.6k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 310d ago

Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$69.9k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 310d ago

Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$69.9k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 310d ago

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$69.9k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 311d ago

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$49.8k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 311d ago

Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$47.2k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 311d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 96.7¢$46.1k

LOW ElectricSamurai · 311d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$46.1k

LOW ElectricSamurai · 311d ago

Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$30.1k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 310d ago

Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$30.1k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 310d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?missed

BUY Yes @ 21¢$29.2k

MED 0x6d77…b72c · 311d ago

Trade this

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?called

BUY No @ 93.9¢$23.7k

LOW DonaldinhoTrumpito · 311d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 96.5¢$23.2k

LOW 0x28c3…da06 · 310d ago

Most traded markets

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$1.96M · 4 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$231.4k · 6 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$151.6k · 7 flags

Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?

$150.7k · 3 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$128.0k · 7 flags

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

$69.9k · 1 flags