← Wallets
−$38Yes · avg 34¢ → 32¢ · $480−$65Yes · avg 2.1¢ → 1.5¢ · $145−$209Yes · avg 23¢ → 4¢ · $44+$2No · avg 88¢ → 97.8¢ · $22+$1No · avg 89¢ → 97.2¢ · $10
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$202.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$7,751
Last 30 days +$4 · $5.34M volume · 8,596 trades · since Oct 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$3,905
Open P&L · 18 positions
−$3,899
Closed-position win rate
52%
174 closed
Wallet age · markets
373d
182 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $32.9k | excluded |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 96.5¢ | $23.2k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $26.8k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
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