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What this means. A wallet put $1.66M on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.66M
BUY No @ 98.8¢ · 1,676,871 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)5.3× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Ryan888 took No (buy) for $1.66M at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $1.66M+3
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.8¢
- Implied odds
- 98.8%
- Size
- $1.66M
- Placed
- Dec 17, 19:38 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Ryan888
- Tx
- 0x1a975da4…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+20.3 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded |