← Wallets
+$1,220No · avg 93.5¢ → 96.8¢ · $36.6k+$492No · avg 95.8¢ → 97.8¢ · $24.9k+$647No · avg 91.5¢ → 97.5¢ · $10.6k+$752No · avg 84¢ → 90.5¢ · $9,954+$122No · avg 91.6¢ → 96.4¢ · $2,515+$37No · avg 91¢ → 95.7¢ · $765−$15Yes · avg 24¢ → 24¢ · $706+$62Yes · avg 71¢ → 84¢ · $378
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -83.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-83.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$293.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±37.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$73.5k
Last 30 days +$1,349 · $3.46M volume · 3,785 trades · since Dec 17, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$57.5k
Open P&L · 77 positions
−$9,774
Closed-position win rate
64%
343 closed
Wallet age · markets
676d
442 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -83.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Argentina @ 88¢ | $10.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $11.0k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ | $46.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $46.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $34.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $46.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ | $30.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $11.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $12.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $33.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $10.3k | called |
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