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What this means. A wallet put $175.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
$175.8k
BUY No @ 99.3¢ · 177,000 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)3× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet 0x1fad…b5b2 took No (buy) for $175.8k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $175.8k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.3¢
Implied odds
99.3%
Size
$175.8k
Placed
Dec 18, 16:39 EST
Market close
Jan 27, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x1fad…b5b2
Tx
0x54043dae…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k0% ClaudeAI269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% 0x2060…be52269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.7k0% 0xcc46…d7e2269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.3k0% 0x5ef1…8b83269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.2k0% 0xe9eb…1410269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.3k0% 0x8c49…54fa269d agoexcluded