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What this means. A wallet put $595.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$595.7k
BUY No @ 99.3¢ · 599,938 shares in 44 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite44 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)11.5× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet 0xdd57…694d took No (buy) for $595.7k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $595.7k+3
Near-certain price-2
44 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $595.7k
- Placed
- Dec 18, 02:55 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xdd57…694d
- Tx
- 0xf52d0997…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+7.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded |