Sunday, December 21, 2025

35 whale trades totalling $1.02M from 24 wallets. Biggest: $175.6k sell No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.2¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$175.6k 3.0× usual	1%	0x1fad…b5b2	306d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$157.9k 3.2× usual	99%	0x6327…e181	306d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$69.0k 2.1× usual	0%	wkmfa518	307d ago	excluded
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$52.6k	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	306d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$35.4k	100%	LucasMeow	307d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$34.8k	1%	jwp9999	307d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢	$33.0k	99%	0xdd57…694d	307d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢	$32.9k	1%	0x28c3…da06	306d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$32.6k	1%	wkmfa518	306d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢	$24.4k	3%	cqs	307d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢	$23.7k	79%	Hashbrown	306d ago	called	Trade this
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	LOW BUY No @ 94.5¢	$23.1k	94%	HongKongMenace	307d ago	called	Trade this
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	LOW BUY No @ 94.4¢	$21.7k	94%	HongKongMenace	306d ago	called	Trade this
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$19.9k	100%	gululumoon	307d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢	$19.6k	80%	pako	306d ago	called	Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.2¢$175.6k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 306d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$157.9k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 306d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$69.0k

LOW wkmfa518 · 307d ago

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$52.6k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 306d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$35.4k

LOW LucasMeow · 307d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$34.8k

LOW jwp9999 · 307d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.6¢$33.0k

LOW 0xdd57…694d · 307d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.6¢$32.9k

LOW 0x28c3…da06 · 306d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$32.6k

LOW wkmfa518 · 306d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 97.4¢$24.4k

LOW cqs · 307d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 79¢$23.7k

LOW Hashbrown · 306d ago

Trade this

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?called

BUY No @ 94.5¢$23.1k

LOW HongKongMenace · 307d ago

Trade this

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?called

BUY No @ 94.4¢$21.7k

LOW HongKongMenace · 306d ago

Trade this

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$19.9k

LOW gululumoon · 307d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 80¢$19.6k

LOW pako · 306d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$333.5k · 2 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$282.3k · 18 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$217.4k · 7 flags

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?

$52.6k · 1 flags

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

$44.8k · 2 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$43.3k · 2 flags