Weekly report card
Week 2026-11
Mar 09, 00:00 EDT – Mar 15, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week
Price-adjusted edge
-24.9 pts
Called
9/27
Expected from price
15.7
Std. error
±9.1
In week 2026-11, 27 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 9 times; entry prices implied 15.7. Whales did no better than the price (-24.9 pts). One week is a small sample.
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 26 | 9 | 15.2 | -23.8 pts |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -52.7 pts |
Best calls (lowest implied odds that won)
Biggest misses
Every graded flag
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Celtics vs. Spurs | MED BUY Spurs @ 59¢ | $290.6k 3.4× usual |
called |
| Kings vs. Clippers | MED BUY Clippers @ 90¢ | $260.9k | missed |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 59¢ | $83.2k | called |
| Kings vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 88¢ | $80.7k 2.5× usual |
missed |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $78.6k | missed |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $75.0k | missed |
 Penguins vs. Utah | MED BUY Utah @ 58¢ | $72.7k 4.3× usual |
missed |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 58¢ | $62.5k | called |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | MED BUY Timberwolves @ 55¢ | $49.3k | missed |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $38.5k | missed |
 BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 61¢ | $30.6k | called |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 55¢ | $30.0k | missed |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $26.0k | missed |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 55¢ | $24.8k | missed |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Celtics @ 42¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW BUY Jack Draper @ 39¢ | $13.5k | missed |
| Penguins vs. Utah | LOW BUY Penguins @ 42¢ | $12.8k | called |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $12.5k | missed |
 Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $12.3k | missed |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $12.3k | missed |
| Kings vs. Clippers | LOW SELL Kings @ 11¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 55¢ | $11.0k | missed |
| Penguins vs. Utah | LOW BUY Penguins @ 42¢ | $11.0k | called |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW BUY No @ 35¢ | $10.9k | called |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 57¢ | $10.8k | called |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $10.3k | called |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 55¢ | $10.1k | missed |
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