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Timberwolves vs. Lakersmissed
What this means. A wallet put $49.3k on Timberwolves, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Timberwolves vs. Lakersmissed$49.3k
BUY Timberwolves @ 55¢ · 89,727 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet Sensei2 took Timberwolves (buy) for $49.3k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Lakers, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $49.3k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Timberwolves wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $49.3k
- Placed
- Mar 10, 21:24 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 10, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- Lakers
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Sensei2
- Tx
- 0xa7dfd18f…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-19.9 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsTimberwolves price · entry 55¢ · resolved Lakers
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | LOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ | $96.6k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | LOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 99.8¢ | $69.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 99¢ | $27.7k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Lakers @ 99.7¢ | $20.2k | excluded |