← Live flags
Penguins vs. Utahcalled
What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on Penguins, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It won. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.8k
BUY Penguins @ 42¢ · 30,438 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2a2c…9bc1 took Penguins (buy) for $12.8k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Penguins, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Penguins wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $12.8k
- Placed
- Mar 14, 17:26 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 14, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Penguins
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2a2c…9bc1
- Tx
- 0xa6514f2d…
This wallet's graded record
16/18+21.1 pts
expected 12.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +58 ptsPenguins price · entry 42¢ · resolved Penguins
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED BUY Utah @ 59¢ | $101.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Utah @ 58¢ | $72.7k 4.3× usual |
missed | |
| LOW BUY Penguins @ 42¢ | $11.0k | called |