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What this means. A wallet put $38.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.3 pts over 59 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.5k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 59,196 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet elkmonkey took Yes (buy) for $38.5k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $38.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 65.0%
- As American odds
- −186 no vig
- Size
- $38.5k
- Placed
- Mar 10, 21:50 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 11, 13:45 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- elkmonkey
- Tx
- 0xe06fd969…
This wallet's graded record
33/59-4.3 pts
expected 35.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -65 ptsYes price · entry 65¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $93.3k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.7k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.7k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $77.0k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.6k | excluded |