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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -42.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-42.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$30.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$280.9k
Last 30 days −$4,785 · $4.31M volume · 6,916 trades · since Jul 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 480 closed
−$127.6k
Open P&L · 82 positions
−$152.5k
Closed-position win rate
54%
480 closed
Wallet age · markets
824d
542 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -42.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Celtics @ 42¢ | $20.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0e4a96…