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What this means. A wallet put $13.5k on Jack Draper, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.5k
BUY Jack Draper @ 39¢ · 34,699 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet SecondWindCapital took Jack Draper (buy) for $13.5k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved Daniil Medvedev, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 39¢ means
39%chance the market gave
+156American odds
$1.00paid per share if Jack Draper wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 39.0%
- As American odds
- +156 no vig
- Size
- $13.5k
- Placed
- Mar 12, 15:52 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 12, 20:40 EDT
- Result
- Daniil Medvedev
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- SecondWindCapital
- Tx
- 0x20e36cc3…
This wallet's graded record
5/8+9.0 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -39 ptsJack Draper price · entry 39¢ · resolved Daniil Medvedev
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 99¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 61¢ | $30.6k | called |