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Kings vs. Clippersmissed
What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on not Kings, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
SELL Kings @ 11¢ · 108,983 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports
What happened
Wallet crudeoilmoney took Kings (sell) for $12.0k at an average 11¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved Kings, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 11¢
- Implied odds
- 89.0%
- As American odds
- −809 no vig
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Mar 14, 20:33 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 14, 22:30 EDT
- Result
- Kings
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- crudeoilmoney
- Tx
- 0x8c8313e5…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-89.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -89 ptsKings price · entry 11¢ · resolved Kings · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Kings @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Kings @ 99.9¢ | $26.4k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Kings @ 99.9¢ | $64.2k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Kings @ 96.6¢ | $37.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Clippers @ 48¢ | $27.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Kings @ 87¢ | $22.1k | excluded |