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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -10.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-10.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$198.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$37.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $12.98M volume · 1,928 trades · since Mar 04, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$172.2k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$9,357
Closed-position win rate
64%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
234d
465 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.2 | -10.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | LOW BUY Coco Gauff @ 69¢ | $14.7k | missed |
 Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | LOW BUY Jannik Sinner @ 52¢ | $11.7k | called |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz | LOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 78¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | MED SELL Valentin Vacherot @ 56¢ | $50.2k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | LOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 79¢ | $29.6k | excluded |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | LOW SELL Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 22¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | LOW BUY Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 80¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | LOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 75¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
 Kings vs. Clippers | LOW SELL Clippers @ 48¢ | $27.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6aee3f…