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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?

pending?Alert me on this market
Flags
3
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$47.9k
Price 7d ago → now
0.8¢→0.7¢
Category
Other

Outcome price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● pending ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 0.7¢no rated wallets
  1. ToadLord$1,191
  2. Mold-Spore$887
  3. meagainsttheworld$639
  4. 0x9377…2f06$553
  5. Discombobulator7$136
  6. M013$72
  7. ShishioMakoto$65
  8. 0xcc3e…0e8d$61
  9. alphaunc$52
  10. hivemindilan$47
  11. heypresto$38
  12. ManAreBrave$36
No 99.4¢no rated wallets
  1. tetrase$147.8k
  2. kevtp$54.6k
  3. thoodr$53.5k
  4. Dafu0715$49.7k
  5. MrNoItAll$47.2k
  6. refzer$32.9k
  7. b4k9xj2wh$27.2k
  8. TylerTurden$24.1k
  9. 0xef97…ab2c$22.4k
  10. stupid22$22.1k
  11. 0x74b4…6bea$15.4k
  12. ChrisZyy-Real$11.0k

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$57.9k
2 flags
 none none
Not No$10.0k
1 flag
 none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $24.7k99% tetrase20h agopending
LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $33.2k99% tetrase23h agopending
LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $10.0k1% 0x4a0b…7a111d agopending
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?pending
BUY No @ 99.2¢$24.7k
LOW tetrase · 20h ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?pending
BUY No @ 99¢$33.2k
LOW tetrase · 23h ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?pending
SELL No @ 99¢$10.0k
LOW 0x4a0b…7a11 · 1d ago

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 3 whale trades on this market totalling $67.9k from 2 wallets. The largest was $33.2k (buy No at 99¢). Most whale money ($57.9k) went to No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, tetrase ($57.9k), has called 7 of 8 graded flags overall (+20.7 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-october-31).