← Wallets
+$8,250Yes · avg 87¢ → 94.5¢ · $104.0k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$527Yes · avg 90¢ → 97.9¢ · $6,526+$25Yes · avg 86¢ → 86¢ · $4,325+$33No · avg 94.4¢ → 98.4¢ · $830
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$994.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$78.6k
Last 30 days +$7,918 · $11.11M volume · 4,439 trades · since Nov 04, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$70.7k
Open P&L · 6 positions
+$9,179
Closed-position win rate
97%
152 closed
Wallet age · markets
719d
158 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $195.6k | excluded |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $599.4k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $99.8k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $99.8k | excluded |
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