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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 2 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$44.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1,531
Last 30 days −$84 · $351.7k volume · 34 trades · since Jul 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1,531
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
85%
27 closed
Wallet age · markets
102d
27 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $10.0k | pending |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $10.0k | pending |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $24.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4a0ba8…