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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
SELL No @ 99¢ · 10,111 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x4a0b…7a11 took No (sell) for $10.0k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99¢
- Implied odds
- 1.0%
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 11:01 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4a0b…7a11
- Tx
- 0x1243014a…
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Price since this bet
Since entry -0.3 ptsNo price · entry 99¢ · now 99.4¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $24.7k | pending |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $33.2k | pending |