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ChrisZyy-Real

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?+$598No · avg 95.7¢ → 97.8¢ · $28.2kWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?+$187No · avg 94.6¢ → 97.4¢ · $6,494Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?+$38No · avg 97.3¢ → 98.5¢ · $3,281Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?+$5No · avg 96.9¢ → 97¢ · $3,235Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?+$31No · avg 94.9¢ → 96.3¢ · $2,140Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?+$30Yes · avg 93¢ → 94.5¢ · $1,917 · 1 proven with, 0 againstBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?+$5Yes · avg 96.4¢ → 96.9¢ · $1,047Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?+$1No · avg 94¢ → 94.2¢ · $542
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$182.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$13.4k
Last 30 days +$1,137 · $848.0k volume · 846 trades · since Jan 27, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$12.3k
Open P&L · 13 positions
+$1,032
Closed-position win rate
97%
63 closed
Wallet age · markets
270d
76 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $34.5k0% 100d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $18.4k100% 100d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $37.5k99% 185d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $37.5k0% 185d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.6k100% 264d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.1¢ $28.5k99% 270d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.6¢$34.5k
LOW ChrisZyy-Real · 100d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$18.4k
LOW ChrisZyy-Real · 100d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$37.5k
LOW ChrisZyy-Real · 185d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$37.5k
LOW ChrisZyy-Real · 185d ago
US government shutdown Saturday?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$25.6k
LOW ChrisZyy-Real · 264d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.1¢$28.5k
LOW ChrisZyy-Real · 270d ago

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