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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$206.8k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
machbut bought Yes at 93¢. The price gave that side a 93% chance. 222,388 shares, 2 fills, Oct 29, 07:58 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $206.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet machbut bought Yes for $206.8k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied 93% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $206.8k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsYes price · entry 93¢ · now 92.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL Yes @ 92¢ | $71.7k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $165.8k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $37.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $28.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $16.4k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $161.8k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |