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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 3
$161.8k

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

0x6302…7917 bought Yes at 93¢. The price gave that side a 93% chance. 174,000 shares, Oct 29, 08:00 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $161.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x6302…7917 bought Yes for $161.8k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied 93% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $161.8k+2
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.5 pts
Yes price · entry 93¢ · now 93.5¢
88¢93¢98¢ Whale entry 93¢ · $161.8k WHALE $161.8K @ 93¢ +1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ $20.1k93% SAPolitcsSeer2h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW SELL Yes @ 92¢ $20.2k8% shibagege2h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ $18.6k93% su2813h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?MED BUY No @ 7¢ $32.3k7% ndb14h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW SELL Yes @ 93¢ $13.4k7% ndb15h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ $30.0k93% Diablosistrade5h agoOpenResolves Nov 3