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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$13.4k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
ndb1 sold Yes at 93¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 7% chance. 14,436 shares, Oct 29, 16:36 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $13.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet ndb1 sold Yes for $13.4k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied 7% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $13.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsYes price · entry 93¢ · now 92.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED BUY No @ 7¢ | $32.3k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $30.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL Yes @ 92¢ | $71.7k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $165.8k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $37.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $28.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |