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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$28.2k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Solmaxi8888.sol sold Yes at 93¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 7% chance. 30,359 shares, Oct 29, 09:27 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $28.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Solmaxi8888.sol sold Yes for $28.2k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied 7% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +4.7 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $28.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsYes price · entry 93¢ · now 92.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED BUY No @ 7¢ | $32.3k | Open |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $13.4k | Open |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $30.0k | Open |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL Yes @ 92¢ | $71.7k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $165.8k 2.5× usual |
OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $37.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |