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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$165.8k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
ndb1 sold Yes at 93¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 7% chance. 178,324 shares, Oct 29, 11:06 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $165.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet ndb1 sold Yes for $165.8k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied 7% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $165.8k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsYes price · entry 93¢ · now 93.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $20.1k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW SELL Yes @ 92¢ | $20.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $18.6k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED BUY No @ 7¢ | $32.3k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW SELL Yes @ 93¢ | $13.4k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $30.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |