Daily recap
Sunday, October 4, 2026
319 whale trades totalling $18.10M from 129 wallets. Biggest: $1.19M sell Yes on “Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?” at 99.9¢. 41 of 88 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 47.4 expected (-7.2 pts).
Whale trades
319
Volume
$18.10M
Wallets
129
Resolved edge
-7.2 pts
Biggest trades
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.19M | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 69¢ | $1.17M | missed | |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $695.6k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY 49ers @ 60¢ | $549.6k 9.7× usual |
excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Panthers @ 34¢ | $340.0k 4.1× usual |
excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Texans @ 58¢ | $297.5k 6.5× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Lions @ 66¢ | $282.8k 4.6× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Rams @ 63¢ | $280.0k 12.4× usual |
excluded | |
| HIGH SELL Lions @ 66¢ | $262.7k 4.2× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Texans @ 58¢ | $250.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Bills @ 74¢ | $228.8k 5.6× usual |
missed | |
| HIGH BUY Commanders @ 34¢ | $204.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Lions @ 64¢ | $201.6k 8.9× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Cardinals @ 77¢ | $200.0k 3.8× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Eagles @ 38¢ | $184.6k | excluded |
Most traded markets
Resolved today
missed19d ago
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers@ 69¢→Atlanta Braves
$1.17M · 0xe6ca…bff4implied 69%
called20d ago
Colts vs. Commanders
BUYColts@ 66¢→Colts
$277.2k · chubbytoroimplied 66%
missed20d ago
Patriots vs. Bills
BUYBills@ 74¢→Patriots
$228.8k · 0x2c33…0563implied 74%
called20d ago
Broncos vs. 49ers
BUY49ers@ 58¢→49ers
$178.4k · Kch-Tempimplied 58%
missed20d ago
Cardinals vs. Giants
BUYCardinals@ 56¢→Giants
$161.3k · ratatatatatatatataaaaimplied 56%
missed19d ago
Cowboys vs. Texans
BUYTexans@ 58¢→Cowboys
$139.2k · taylorsversionimplied 58%
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