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Lions vs. Panthersexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $282.8k on Lions, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$282.8k
BUY Lions @ 66¢ · 428,411 shares
Size ≥ $250kLate (<1h before start)4.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet surfandturf took Lions (buy) for $282.8k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved Panthers. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $282.8k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lions wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 66¢
- Implied odds
- 66.0%
- As American odds
- −194 no vig
- Size
- $282.8k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 19:25 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 20:20 EDT
- Result
- Panthers
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- surfandturf
- Tx
- 0x6fc967a0…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -66 ptsLions price · entry 66¢ · resolved Panthers
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Panthers @ 99¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Panthers @ 79¢ | $76.9k 3.5× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Panthers @ 81¢ | $102.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Lions @ 19¢ | $17.1k | excluded |