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What this means. A wallet put $282.8k on Lions, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lions vs. Panthersexcluded
$282.8k
BUY Lions @ 66¢ · 428,411 shares
Size ≥ $250kLate (<1h before start)4.6× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet surfandturf took Lions (buy) for $282.8k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved Panthers. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $282.8k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lions wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
66¢
Implied odds
66.0%
As American odds
−194 no vig
Size
$282.8k
Placed
Oct 04, 19:25 EDT
Market close
Oct 04, 20:20 EDT
Result
Panthers
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
surfandturf
Tx
0x6fc967a0…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -66 pts
Lions price · entry 66¢ · resolved Panthers
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 66¢ · $282.8k WHALE $282.8K @ 66¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Lions vs. PanthersLOW SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢ $12.0k0% BABELCONSTEL19d agoexcluded
Lions vs. PanthersLOW SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢ $16.2k0% Donghui19d agoexcluded
Lions vs. PanthersLOW SELL Panthers @ 99¢ $11.0k1% popay14119d agoexcluded
Lions vs. PanthersMED BUY Panthers @ 79¢ $76.9k
3.5× usual
79% mooseborzoii19d agoexcluded
Lions vs. PanthersMED BUY Panthers @ 81¢ $102.4k
2.5× usual
81% 0x2c33…056319d agoexcluded
Lions vs. PanthersLOW BUY Lions @ 19¢ $17.1k19% 0xbc43…96d319d agoexcluded