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Lions vs. Panthersexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on not Panthers, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢ · 11,993 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet BABELCONSTEL took Panthers (sell) for $12.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Panthers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 23:44 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 20:20 EDT
- Result
- Panthers
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BABELCONSTEL
- Tx
- 0xd099d008…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-17.5 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Panthers @ 99¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Panthers @ 79¢ | $76.9k 3.5× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Panthers @ 81¢ | $102.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Lions @ 19¢ | $17.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Panthers @ 84¢ | $12.6k | excluded |