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What this means. A wallet put $139.2k on Texans, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Cowboys vs. Texansmissed
$139.2k
BUY Texans @ 58¢ · 240,000 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100k5 fills in 1hSports

What happened

Wallet taylorsversion took Texans (buy) for $139.2k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Cowboys, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $139.2k+2
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Texans wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$139.2k
Placed
Oct 04, 11:49 EDT
Market close
Oct 04, 13:00 EDT
Result
Cowboys
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
taylorsversion
Tx
0x51c618b5…
This wallet's graded record
2/7-28.0 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -58 pts
Texans price · entry 58¢ · resolved Cowboys
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $139.2k WHALE $139.2K @ 58¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Cowboys vs. TexansLOW BUY Cowboys @ 72¢ $23.8k72% yoyoyoyoer20d agoexcluded
Cowboys vs. TexansMED BUY Cowboys @ 47¢ $62.1k47% ethanaz20d agoexcluded
Cowboys vs. TexansLOW BUY Cowboys @ 47¢ $10.9k47% Paracellus20d agoexcluded
Cowboys vs. TexansLOW BUY Texans @ 54¢ $10.0k54% Johnny2d520d agoexcluded
Cowboys vs. TexansMED BUY Texans @ 70¢ $31.5k70% yoyoyoyoer20d agoexcluded
Cowboys vs. TexansLOW BUY Texans @ 80¢ $19.3k80% sulumos20d agoexcluded