Thursday, August 6, 2026

41 whale trades totalling $1.21M from 32 wallets. Biggest: $98.3k buy No on “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?” at 98.3¢. 0 of 1 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 0.7 expected (-65.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢	$98.3k 2.0× usual	98%	ThePrinceThatWasPromised	78d ago	excluded
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles	LOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 64¢	$92.4k 2.4× usual	64%	0x3dfb…abaf	78d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 52¢	$64.6k	48%	0xf751…fec8	78d ago	called	Trade this
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles	LOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 64¢	$64.0k	64%	0x2c33…0563	78d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys	LOW BUY Madison Keys @ 46¢	$49.6k	46%	0x5f65…2036	78d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys	LOW BUY Madison Keys @ 47¢	$49.3k	47%	0x5f65…2036	78d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢	$49.1k	98%	ThePrinceThatWasPromised	78d ago	excluded
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles	LOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 64¢	$46.0k	64%	Kosherlocks	78d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys	LOW SELL Madison Keys @ 43¢	$40.9k	57%	0x5f65…2036	78d ago	excluded
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LOW SELL ThunderTalk Gaming @ 99.9¢	$38.3k 2.7× usual	0%	LinkE5	78d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	MED SELL No @ 84¢	$37.9k	16%	0x56e7…7c0b	78d ago	missed	Trade this
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys	MED BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 95.1¢	$36.3k	95%	swisstony PROVEN	78d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	HIGH BUY No @ 46¢	$35.7k	46%	RRRRRRRRL NEW	78d ago	called	Trade this
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles	MED BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 65¢	$32.5k	65%	AV23IUa PROVEN	78d ago	missed	Trade this
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	MED BUY No @ 89¢	$32.0k	89%	MisTKy PROVEN	78d ago	called	Trade this

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.3¢$98.3k

LOW ThePrinceThatWasPromised · 78d ago

Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesexcluded

BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 64¢$92.4k

LOW 0x3dfb…abaf · 78d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?called

SELL Yes @ 52¢$64.6k

MED 0xf751…fec8 · 78d ago

Trade this

Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesexcluded

BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 64¢$64.0k

LOW 0x2c33…0563 · 78d ago

National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysexcluded

BUY Madison Keys @ 46¢$49.6k

LOW 0x5f65…2036 · 78d ago

National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysmissed

BUY Madison Keys @ 47¢$49.3k

LOW 0x5f65…2036 · 78d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.3¢$49.1k

LOW ThePrinceThatWasPromised · 78d ago

Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesexcluded

BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 64¢$46.0k

LOW Kosherlocks · 78d ago

National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysexcluded

SELL Madison Keys @ 43¢$40.9k

LOW 0x5f65…2036 · 78d ago

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerexcluded

SELL ThunderTalk Gaming @ 99.9¢$38.3k

LOW LinkE5 · 78d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?missed

SELL No @ 84¢$37.9k

MED 0x56e7…7c0b · 78d ago

Trade this

National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysexcluded

BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 95.1¢$36.3k

MED PROVEN swisstony · 78d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 46¢$35.7k

HIGH New wallet RRRRRRRRL · 78d ago

Trade this

Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesmissed

BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 65¢$32.5k

MED PROVEN AV23IUa · 78d ago

Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?called

BUY No @ 89¢$32.0k

MED PROVEN MisTKy · 78d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles

$298.7k · 7 flags

National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys

$221.7k · 7 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

$147.4k · 2 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

$135.7k · 5 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

$120.7k · 4 flags

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner

$98.1k · 4 flags