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National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys

Resolved: Marta Kostyuk
Flags
7
Net whale flow → Marta Kostyuk
+$23.7k
Marta Kostyuk 7d ago → now
—
Category
Sports
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
Madison Keys$99.0k
2 flags
none none
Marta Kostyuk$81.8k
4 flags
$36.3k
1 wallet
none
Not Madison Keys$40.9k
1 flag
none none

A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 97.5¢ $12.7k98% one8tyfive78d agoexcluded
MED BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 95.1¢ $36.3k95% swisstony PROVEN78d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 97.5¢ $20.0k98% 0x9bb1…4dbe78d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 80¢ $12.8k80% Lawsuitevidencaugust202678d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Madison Keys @ 46¢ $49.6k46% 0x5f65…203678d agoexcluded
LOW SELL Madison Keys @ 43¢ $40.9k57% 0x5f65…203678d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Madison Keys @ 47¢ $49.3k47% 0x5f65…203678d agomissed

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 7 whale trades on this market totalling $221.7k from 5 wallets. The largest was $49.6k (buy Madison Keys at 46¢). Most whale money ($99.0k) went to Madison Keys. 5 of 7 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, 0x5f65…2036 ($139.9k), has called 2 of 4 graded flags overall (+11.8 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (wta-kostyuk-keys-2026-08-05).