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What this means. A wallet put $36.3k on Marta Kostyuk, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$36.3k
BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 95.1¢ · 38,174 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Marta Kostyuk (buy) for $36.3k at an average 95.1¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Marta Kostyuk. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $36.3k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1923American odds
$1.00paid per share if Marta Kostyuk wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.1¢
- Implied odds
- 95.1%
- As American odds
- −1923 no vig
- Size
- $36.3k
- Placed
- Aug 06, 17:51 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 06, 16:45 EDT
- Result
- Marta Kostyuk
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0xb147d5ff…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsMarta Kostyuk price · entry 95.1¢ · resolved Marta Kostyuk
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys | LOW BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 97.5¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys | LOW BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 97.5¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys | LOW BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 80¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys | LOW BUY Madison Keys @ 46¢ | $49.6k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys | LOW SELL Madison Keys @ 43¢ | $40.9k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys | LOW BUY Madison Keys @ 47¢ | $49.3k | missed |