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What this means. A wallet put $98.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$98.3k
BUY No @ 98.3¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet ThePrinceThatWasPromised took No (buy) for $98.3k at an average 98.3¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $98.3k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5782American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.3¢
- Implied odds
- 98.3%
- Size
- $98.3k
- Placed
- Aug 06, 15:27 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ThePrinceThatWasPromised
- Tx
- 0xa8ea8746…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+61.5 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $172.6k 3.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |