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What this means. A wallet put $37.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?missed
$37.9k
SELL No @ 84¢ · 45,086 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 0x56e7…7c0b took No (sell) for $37.9k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $37.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
84¢
Implied odds
16.0%
Size
$37.9k
Placed
Aug 06, 07:12 EDT
Market close
Aug 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x56e7…7c0b
Tx
0xa822501e…
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Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.0k0% KiernanMeister49d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $37.7k0% Paul97397350d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% MsTKyB1 NEW50d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.9k0% Lisbon51d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% ANGGGuess51d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% stupid2251d agoexcluded