Monday, July 20, 2026

59 whale trades totalling $2.21M from 50 wallets. Biggest: $524.1k buy No on “Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?” at 99.8¢. 0 of 4 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 1.8 expected (-46.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	HIGH BUY No @ 99.8¢	$524.1k	100%	0x3159…e940 NEW	95d ago	excluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$228.8k 8.5× usual	100%	ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN	95d ago	excluded
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves	MED BUY Atlanta Braves @ 54¢	$135.0k	54%	Sassy-Bucket	95d ago	excluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$112.7k	100%	0xf891…5d36	95d ago	excluded
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves	LOW BUY San Diego Padres @ 47¢	$64.7k	47%	0x3dfb…abaf	95d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$64.5k 2.8× usual	100%	imnice	95d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 93.6¢	$52.0k 3.2× usual	94%	Cbs710	95d ago	called	Trade this
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢	$46.9k	99%	0x8931…a90c	96d ago	excluded
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	MED SELL No @ 99.8¢	$40.3k	0%	0x3159…e940 NEW	95d ago	excluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢	$39.5k	99%	bondor	95d ago	excluded
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves	LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 55¢	$36.7k	55%	xifutloong3	95d ago	excluded
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa	LOW BUY Paula Badosa @ 55¢	$36.0k	55%	0x2c33…0563	96d ago	called	Trade this
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	MED SELL Titouan Droguet @ 74¢	$32.3k	26%	0x5f65…2036	95d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 92.8¢	$27.8k	93%	f2hf84hg52h5	95d ago	called	Trade this
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	LOW BUY No @ 77¢	$27.6k	77%	coali10	96d ago	called	Trade this

Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$524.1k

HIGH New wallet 0x3159…e940 · 95d ago

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$228.8k

LOW PROVEN ArmageddonRewardsBilly · 95d ago

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesexcluded

BUY Atlanta Braves @ 54¢$135.0k

MED Sassy-Bucket · 95d ago

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$112.7k

LOW 0xf891…5d36 · 95d ago

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesmissed

BUY San Diego Padres @ 47¢$64.7k

LOW 0x3dfb…abaf · 95d ago

Trade this

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$64.5k

LOW imnice · 95d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 93.6¢$52.0k

LOW Cbs710 · 95d ago

Trade this

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$46.9k

LOW 0x8931…a90c · 96d ago

Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$40.3k

MED New wallet 0x3159…e940 · 95d ago

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$39.5k

LOW bondor · 95d ago

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesexcluded

BUY Atlanta Braves @ 55¢$36.7k

LOW xifutloong3 · 95d ago

Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosacalled

BUY Paula Badosa @ 55¢$36.0k

LOW 0x2c33…0563 · 96d ago

Trade this

Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelliexcluded

SELL Titouan Droguet @ 74¢$32.3k

MED 0x5f65…2036 · 95d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 92.8¢$27.8k

LOW f2hf84hg52h5 · 95d ago

Trade this

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?called

BUY No @ 77¢$27.6k

LOW coali10 · 96d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

$759.1k · 20 flags

Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

$564.5k · 2 flags

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves

$288.7k · 7 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

$171.6k · 7 flags

Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse

$92.3k · 6 flags

Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

$67.1k · 3 flags