imnice

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +41.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?−$1Yes · avg 44¢ → 38¢ · $8

Price-adjusted edge

+41.9 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.6

Flagged volume

$224.2k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.3 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$4,262

Last 30 days −$14.0k · $2.51M volume · 1,099 trades · since Oct 03, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$124.7k

Open P&L · 60 positions

−$111.6k

Closed-position win rate

80%

130 closed

Wallet age · markets

386d

142 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	1	1	0.6	+41.9 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$64.5k 2.8× usual	100%	95d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢	$21.2k	85%	131d ago	excluded
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$21.7k	99%	138d ago	excluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	LOW BUY No @ 58¢	$23.5k	58%	154d ago	called
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$30.0k	100%	183d ago	excluded
Government shutdown on Saturday?	LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢	$43.5k	98%	252d ago	excluded
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 98.3¢	$19.8k	98%	264d ago	excluded

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$64.5k

LOW imnice · 95d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 85¢$21.2k

LOW imnice · 131d ago

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?excluded

BUY No @ 98.7¢$21.7k

LOW imnice · 138d ago

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?called

BUY No @ 58¢$23.5k

LOW imnice · 154d ago

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$30.0k

LOW imnice · 183d ago

Government shutdown on Saturday?excluded

BUY No @ 97.8¢$43.5k

LOW imnice · 252d ago

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 98.3¢$19.8k

LOW imnice · 264d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x99518fa0d201e7542ea2b852809da5a5c8d811bd"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x99518fa0d201e7542ea2b852809da5a5c8d811bd.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x99518f…