← Wallets
−$31Over · avg 97¢ → 96.9¢ · $16.5k+$283Yes · avg 84¢ → 93.5¢ · $2,783 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$49Yes · avg 83¢ → 80¢ · $1,451−$31Yes · avg 31¢ → 22¢ · $69−$111No · avg 78¢ → 29¢ · $66−$16Yes · avg 53¢ → 40¢ · $51−$10No · avg 77¢ → 57¢ · $28−$7Yes · avg 77¢ → 42¢ · $9
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.6 wins, so it did +11.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+11.1 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
3.6
Flagged volume
$325.0k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±15.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$38.2k
Last 30 days −$42.4k · $2.54M volume · 637 trades · since Oct 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$21.1k
Open P&L · 18 positions
−$17.0k
Closed-position win rate
81%
171 closed
Wallet age · markets
381d
186 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 2.6 | +12.6 pts |
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 97¢ | $16.5k | pending |
| Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 0.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 95.1¢ | $15.9k | called |
 AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 98.3¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Qairat FK vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 0.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 97.2¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
 Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL No @ 14¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-21? | MED BUY No @ 93.3¢ | $88.0k 5.3× usual |
missed |
 Will England win on 2026-10-06? | LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $38.9k 2.4× usual |
called |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $20.0k | called |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93.6¢ | $52.0k 3.2× usual |
called |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 72¢ | $37.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x700a306c6dd9c87db2f5519b1bfae0340e83a239"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x700a306c6dd9c87db2f5519b1bfae0340e83a239.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x700a30…