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What this means. A wallet put $15.9k on Over, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.9k
BUY Over @ 95.1¢ · 16,682 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports
What happened
Wallet Cbs710 took Over (buy) for $15.9k at an average 95.1¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Over, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1954American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.1¢
- Implied odds
- 95.1%
- As American odds
- −1954 no vig
- Size
- $15.9k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 19:42 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Cbs710
- Tx
- 0xa86ae916…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+11.1 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsOver price · entry 95.1¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Over 2.5 goals scored | $40.2k | 55¢ | 1d ago |