Friday, July 10, 2026

259 whale trades totalling $8.84M from 181 wallets. Biggest: $765.7k buy No on “Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?” at 99.7¢. 25 of 32 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 17.8 expected (+22.4 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	HIGH BUY No @ 99.7¢	$765.7k	100%	0x7f28…4831 NEW	105d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	HIGH BUY No @ 44¢	$272.8k	44%	weatherman12	105d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 61¢	$225.6k 8.5× usual	61%	swisstony PROVEN	105d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	MED BUY No @ 41¢	$216.7k	41%	DEEDDIT	105d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 90.1¢	$180.5k 6.8× usual	90%	swisstony PROVEN	105d ago	excluded
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	MED BUY Yes @ 61¢	$164.3k 2.1× usual	61%	shutitfatty	105d ago	called	Trade this
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	MED BUY Yes @ 59¢	$162.1k	59%	pandasifu	105d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH BUY No @ 82¢	$131.2k	82%	tyrant007 NEW	105d ago	called	Trade this
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢	$126.8k 2.1× usual	0%	NiNo713	105d ago	excluded
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢	$126.0k	52%	0xecb8…2a47 NEW	105d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	MED BUY Yes @ 60¢	$105.8k 2.4× usual	60%	Jokerxing7	105d ago	excluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢	$103.8k 3.0× usual	98%	jinwujinshu	105d ago	excluded
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW BUY England @ 65¢	$100.0k	65%	WVUK77	105d ago	called	Trade this
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢	$97.5k	61%	Latina	105d ago	called	Trade this
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	MED BUY No @ 39¢	$86.2k 2.1× usual	39%	0x2c33…0563	105d ago	missed	Trade this

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$765.7k

HIGH New wallet 0x7f28…4831 · 105d ago

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded

BUY No @ 44¢$272.8k

HIGH weatherman12 · 105d ago

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded

BUY Yes @ 61¢$225.6k

HIGH PROVEN swisstony · 105d ago

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded

BUY No @ 41¢$216.7k

MED DEEDDIT · 105d ago

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded

BUY Yes @ 90.1¢$180.5k

HIGH PROVEN swisstony · 105d ago

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?called

BUY Yes @ 61¢$164.3k

MED shutitfatty · 105d ago

Trade this

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded

BUY Yes @ 59¢$162.1k

MED pandasifu · 105d ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY No @ 82¢$131.2k

HIGH New wallet tyrant007 · 105d ago

Trade this

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.8¢$126.8k

LOW NiNo713 · 105d ago

Will England win on 2026-07-11?missed

BUY Yes @ 52¢$126.0k

HIGH New wallet 0xecb8…2a47 · 105d ago

Trade this

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?excluded

BUY Yes @ 60¢$105.8k

MED Jokerxing7 · 105d ago

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 98.4¢$103.8k

LOW jinwujinshu · 105d ago

Norway vs. England: Team to Advancecalled

BUY England @ 65¢$100.0k

LOW WVUK77 · 105d ago

Trade this

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?called

BUY Yes @ 61¢$97.5k

LOW Latina · 105d ago

Trade this

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?missed

BUY No @ 39¢$86.2k

MED 0x2c33…0563 · 105d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

$4.38M · 116 flags

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

$765.7k · 1 flags

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$430.4k · 18 flags

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

$371.9k · 10 flags

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$328.4k · 18 flags

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$277.5k · 13 flags